Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 16.268647 18.961497 21.891278 25.306573 29.169031 33.392130 38.349034
2025-02-16 11.351256 14.947720 19.269011 24.798746 31.637325 39.764560 50.095981
2025-02-23 8.529658 12.412244 17.465234 24.420816 33.628845 45.270970 60.952675
2025-03-02 6.737340 10.688706 16.193409 24.245793 35.514384 50.484782 71.588271
2025-03-09 5.454587 9.359298 15.140867 24.062180 37.159131 55.304987 81.877541
2025-03-16 4.173589 7.752448 13.384191 22.541717 36.621119 56.923056 87.735101
2025-03-23 3.663394 7.264481 13.219261 23.317199 39.419272 63.372172 100.741653
2025-03-30 3.308846 6.966548 13.293139 24.432132 42.776140 70.817227 115.623026
2025-04-06 2.746623 6.182315 12.427104 23.880693 43.407961 74.135439 124.488071
2025-04-13 2.200375 5.314792 11.276425 22.680183 42.819248 75.446155 130.272653
2025-04-20 2.045889 5.207198 11.493027 23.889037 46.340135 83.473452 146.989064
2025-04-27 1.963333 5.236186 11.966511 25.598432 50.835613 93.329282 167.128168
2025-05-04 1.708757 4.853928 11.619201 25.814499 52.860877 99.470723 182.025834
2025-05-11 1.457105 4.427894 11.129227 25.718409 54.352620 104.886199 196.199006
2025-05-18 1.229174 4.003554 10.571555 25.409001 55.400652 109.582134 209.417922
2025-05-25 1.047810 3.653158 10.116547 25.243343 56.684099 114.744175 223.693770
2025-06-01 0.893573 3.335571 9.681377 25.056216 57.887445 119.808451 238.043579
2025-06-08 0.694289 2.822878 8.680153 23.482326 56.135563 119.292312 242.402667
2025-06-15 0.634844 2.732061 8.723902 24.285517 59.338051 128.232130 264.293116
2025-06-22 0.595427 2.697721 8.909829 25.439929 63.365792 138.963898 289.979241
2025-06-29 0.497170 2.425867 8.405038 24.869011 63.627800 142.411630 302.294649
2025-07-06 0.394157 2.096262 7.670851 23.625859 62.283455 142.585864 308.414724
2025-07-13 0.375840 2.096589 7.904169 24.877651 66.643627 154.413909 337.349570